Good morning, and welcome to our rolling protection of enterprise, the world financial system and the monetary markets.
The UK’s unemployment fee has dropped additional beneath its pre-pandemic ranges as employers wrestle to rent workers, and extra individuals drop out of the labour pressure.
And Britain’s wage squeeze continued, with common pay dropping by 1% over the past yr after adjusting for inflation.
The UK jobless fee slipped to 3.8% within the three months to February, the most recent labour pressure survey launched this morning exhibits. That’s the bottom fee since October-December 2019, simply earlier than Covid-19 hit the financial system, with the unemployment complete down 86,000 to 1.296m.
Employment rose by 10,000 through the quarter, with 32,485 individuals now in work. That left the UK employment fee flat at 75.5%, nonetheless 1.1 proportion factors decrease than earlier than the coronavirus pandemic.
As an alternative, the financial inactivity fee elevated by 0.2 proportion factors to 21.4% in December 2021 to February 2022. That’s as a result of 76,000 extra individuals grew to become economically inactive within the quarter, taking the entire to eight.857 million.
This improve was pushed by those that are economically inactive as a result of they’re taking care of household or dwelling, retired, or long-term sick, the ONS explains.
Firms did add extra workers, with 35,000 extra individuals in payrolled employment in March than in February.
However whereas the variety of full-time staff elevated through the newest three-month interval, this was offset by a lower in part-time staff, as this chart exhibits:
Job vacancies hit a brand new file over the quarter, leaping to 1,288,000.
However the fee of development in vacancies continued to decelerate. There have been 50,200 new openings added in January to March 2022 in contrast with the earlier quarter, the slowest rise in virtually a yr.
The biggest improve was in human well being and social work, which elevated by 13,100 to a brand new file of 215,500 vacancies.
Extra particulars to comply with….
Additionally arising as we speak
US inflation could hit a contemporary 40-year excessive as we speak, with March’s client worth index information forecast to leap to eight.4% from February’s 7.9%.
That may be the quickest tempo since 1981, and doubtless spur the Federal Reserve to lift US rates of interest aggressively over the approaching months. Economists now anticipate half-point hikes in each Could and June.
We additionally get the most recent financial confidence index for Germany from the ZEW institute, which is able to present the impression of the Ukraine struggle on traders.
European inventory markets are set to open decrease, having dropped round 0.6% yesterday.
- 7am BST: UK labour market report
- 10am BST: ZEW survey of German financial confidence in April
- 11am BST: NFIB index of US enterprise optimism index
- 1.30pm BST: US inflation report for March